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11.
Obiri S Dodoo DK Okai-Sam F Essumang DK Adjorlolo-Gasokpoh A 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2006,118(1-3):37-49
Food crops such as cassava, cocoyam and other tuber crops grown in mining communities uptake toxic or hazardous chemicals
such as arsenic, and cadmium, from the soil. Cassava is a stable food for Ghanaians. This study evaluated human health risk
from eating cassava grown in some mining communities in Ghana such as Bogoso, Prestea, Tarkwa and Tamso, which are important
mining towns in the Western Region of Ghana. The study evaluated cancer and non-cancer health effects from eating cassava
grown in the study areas in accordance with US Environmental Protection Agency’s Risk Assessment guidelines. The results of
the study revealed the following: cancer health risk for Tamso, 0.098 (RME – Reasonable Maximum Exposure) and 0.082 (CTE –
Central Tendency Exposure). This means that approximately 10 and 8 out of 100 resident adults are likely to suffer from cancer
related cases by RME and CTE parameters respectively. For Prestea, we have 0.010 and 0.12, which also means that approximately
1 out of 100 and 10 resident adults out of 100 are also likely to suffer from cancer related diseases by RME and CTE parameters.
The results of the study obtained were found to be above the acceptable cancer risk range of 1× 10−6 to 1× 10−4, i.e., 1 case of cancer out of 1 million or 100,000 people respectively. 相似文献
12.
We show a substantive problem exists with the widely-used ratio of coefficients approach to calculating willingness to pay (WTP) from discrete choice models. The correctly calculated standard error for WTP using this approach is shown to be undefined. This occurs because the cost parameter's standard error implies some possibility the true parameter value is arbitrarily close to zero. We propose a simple yet elegant way to overcome this problem by reparameterizing the (negative) cost variable's coefficient using an exponential transformation to enforce the theoretically correct positive coefficient. With it the confidence interval for WTP is now finite and well behaved. 相似文献
13.
Why do blue-eyed men prefer women with the same eye color? 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The human eye color blue reflects a simple, predictable, and reliable genetic mechanism of inheritance. Blue-eyed individuals represent a unique condition, as in their case there is always direct concordance between the genotype and phenotype. On the other hand, heterozygous brown-eyed individuals carry an allele that is not concordant with the observed eye color. Hence, eye color can provide a highly visible and salient cue to the child’s heredity. If men choose women with characteristics that promote the assurance of paternity, then blue-eyed men should prefer and feel more attracted towards women with blue eyes. To test these predictions, close-up photos of young women and adult men with either blue or brown eyes were rated for their attractiveness by young women and men observers with either blue or brown eyes (N=88). The eye color in the photographs of each model was manipulated so that a same face would be shown with either the natural eye color (e.g., blue) or with the other color (e.g., brown). Both blue-eyed and brown-eyed female participants showed no difference in their attractiveness ratings for male models of either eye color. Similarly, brown-eyed men showed no preference for either blue-eyed or brown-eyed female models. However, blue-eyed men rated as more attractive the blue-eyed women than the brown-eyed ones. We interpret the latter preference in terms of specific mate selective choice of blue-eyed men, reflecting strategies for reducing paternity uncertainty. In a second study, a group of young adults (N=443) of both sexes and different eye colors (blue, brown, and green) were asked to report the eye and hair color of their romantic partners. Their responses indicated the presence of assortative mating by eye color as well as, to a less degree, for hair color. Most importantly, blue-eyed male respondents were the group with the largest proportion of partners of same eye color. These findings 1) indicate that blue-eyed men do prefer women with the same eye color and 2) specifically suggest the presence of a male adaptation for the detection of extra-pair paternity based on eye color, as a phenotypically based assurance of paternity (i.e., when the father’s and offspring’s phenotypes match) as well as a defense against cuckoldry (i.e., when the phenotypes do not match).Electronic supplementary material Supplementary material is available in the online version of this article at and is accesseble for authorized users. 相似文献
14.
Jayant V. Deshpande Jesse Frey Omer Ozturk 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2006,13(1):25-40
Ranked-set sampling from a finite population is considered in this paper. Three sampling protocols are described, and procedures
for constructing nonparametric confidence intervals for a population quantile are developed. Algorithms for computing coverage
probabilities for these confidence intervals are presented, and the use of interpolated confidence intervals is recommended
as a means to approximately achieve coverage probabilities that cannot be achieved exactly. A simulation study based on finite
populations of sizes 20, 30, 40, and 50 shows that the three sampling protocols follow a strict ordering in terms of the average
lengths of the confidence intervals they produce. This study also shows that all three ranked-set sampling protocols tend
to produce confidence intervals shorter than those produced by simple random sampling, with the difference being substantial
for two of the protocols. The interpolated confidence intervals are shown to achieve coverage probabilities quite close to
their nominal levels. Rankings done according to a highly correlated concomitant variable are shown to reduce the level of
the confidence intervals only minimally. An example to illustrate the construction of confidence intervals according to this
methodology is provided. 相似文献
15.
Walter W. Piegorsch 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》1994,1(2):153-162
Hierarchical models are considered for estimating the probability of agreement between two outcomes or endpoints from an environmental
toxicity experiment. Emphasis is placed on generalized regression models, under which the prior mean is related to a linear
combination of explanatory variables via a monotone function. This function defines the scale over which the systematic effects
are modelled as additive. Specific illustration is provided for the logistic link function. The hierarchical model employs
a conjugate beta prior that leads to parametric empirical Bayes estimators of the individual agreement parameters. An example
from environmental carcinogenesis illustrates the methods, with motivation derived from estimation of the concordance between
two species carcinogenicity outcomes. Based on a large database of carcinogenicity studies, the inter-species concordance
is seen to be reasonably informative, i.e. in the range 67–84%. Stratification into pertinent potency-related sub-groups via
the logistic model is seen to improve concordance estimation: for environmental stimuli at the extremes of the potency spectrum,
concordance can reach well above 90%. 相似文献
16.
Robert D. Gibbons 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》1995,2(2):125-145
With increasing concern over chemicals that are potential health hazards at low levels, determination of limits of detection have undergone considerable scrutiny. Most traditional detection limit estimators suffer from extensive statistical and/or conceptual limitations. In this paper, traditional detection limit estimators are described and critically evaluated. Using the terminology of Currie (1968), methods are categorized into decision limits versus detection limits. The methods are further categorized into single concentration design versus calibration design methodologies. While the single concentration design methods are useful for fixing ideas and clarifying definitions, they are shown to be extremely limited in practice since dependence of variability on concentration can neither be estimated or incorporated. Calibration-based detection limit estimators are described, compared and contrasted. Generalizations to non-constant variance, multiple future detection decisions and simultaneous control of Type I and II errors are provided. The various calibration-based methods are illustrated using real data and experimental design issues for detection limit studies discussed. 相似文献
17.
18.
Thyroid hormones, which influence body metabolism and development, could be affected by persistent organic pollutants. We sought to examine the relationship between polybrominated biphenyls (PBBs) and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) and thyroid disease. We employed incidence density sampling to perform a nested case control analysis of the Michigan Long-Term PBB Cohort. Cohort members (n = 3333) were exposed to PBBs through contaminated cattle feed in 1973-1974 and to PCBs through daily life. Those with detectable serum PBB and PCB concentrations at enrollment were categorized into tertiles of PBB and PCB exposure. Case-patients were cohort members answering “Yes” to “Has a healthcare provider ever told you that you had a thyroid problem?” during follow-up interviews; control-patients were cohort members answering “No”. We used odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) to compare odds of thyroid disease by PBB and PCB exposure and by various risk factors. Total cumulative thyroid disease incidence after 33 years was 13.9% among women and 2.6% among men. After adjusting for body mass index, we found no statistically significant differences in odds of any type of thyroid disease among women or men with elevated PBB or PCB exposure. Compared to control-patients, women with thyroid disease had increased odds of being overweight/obese (OR = 2.82, 95% CI: 1.94-4.11) and developing infertility (OR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.08-2.69), diabetes (OR = 1.61, 95% CI: 1.04-2.51), or arthritis (OR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.18-2.50) during follow-up. Additional research should explore potential associations between PBBs/PCBs and thyroid disease among children exposed in utero. 相似文献
19.
化学品在实际环境中总是以组分繁杂多变的混合物形式存在,其混合物的毒性评估与预测一直是环境毒理学研究重点。在环境毒理学领域,浓度加和(concentration addition,CA)及独立作用(independent action,IA)是评估与预测化学混合物联合毒性的经典模型,一般认为CA适用于作用模式相似的混合物体系而IA适用于作用模式相异的混合物体系,但如何使用CA与IA一直存在争议。组合指数(combination index,CI)是在半数效应方程基础上发展起来的不依赖于作用模式的用于混合物联合毒性评估的混合物毒性指数,具有坚实的理论基础,不仅能定性地评估毒理学相互作用,也能定量地评估相互作用的大小,已在药物组合研究中得以广泛应用,近年来已引起环境毒理学研究者兴趣。本文就组合指数及药物组合应用、进入环境毒理学领域、与CA及IA的关系、存在的问题等几个方面进行评述,以期推进CI在化学混合物毒性评估与预测领域中的应用。 相似文献
20.
Inexact rough-interval two-stage stochastic programming for conjunctive water allocation problems 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
An inexact rough-interval two-stage stochastic programming (IRTSP) method is developed for conjunctive water allocation problems. Rough intervals (RIs), as a particular case of rough sets, are introduced into the modeling framework to tackle dual-layer information provided by decision makers. Through embeding upper and lower approximation intervals, rough intervals are capable of reflecting complex parameters with the most reliable and possible variation ranges being identified. An interactive solution method is also derived. A conjunctive water-allocation system is then structured for characterizing the proposed model. Solutions indicate a detailed optimal allocation scheme with a rough-interval form; a total of [[1048.83, 2078.29]:[1482.26, 2020.60]] would be obtained under the pre-regulated inputs. Comparisons of the proposed model to a conventional and an interval two-stage stochastic programming model are also conducted. The results indicate that the optimal objective function values of TSP and ITSP always fall into the range of , while they are sometimes out of the range of ; the optimal solutions of decision variables also present this feature. This implies the reliability of IRTSP in handling conjunctive water allocation problems. 相似文献